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2F
Consensus PnL -$244K · win rate 65% (32–17, n=49) · was PM monthly #590 · holds 1 consensus position
0x2f9da73c...2ca5deb3Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-243.9K
Record
32W / 17L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 49 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#951
Source
PM monthly #590
Trades
52
Markets
52
Volume
$322.4K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $3.9K · now 40¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (83% of 42)
Specialties
39 settled consensus markets · held side won 74% at an average entry of 60¢- Elections
+17 pts
side won 78% of 36 · avg entry 61¢
ROI −52%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 100% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 75% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 62% of 13)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 80% of 15)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.