Consensus PnL $40K · win rate 58% (7–5, n=12) · was PM monthly #811 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$40.5K
Record
7W / 5L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 12 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1316
Source
PM monthly #811
Trades
94
Markets
27
Volume
$152.8K
Specialties
24 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 74¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where turo's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 0% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 71%(won 82% of 17)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.