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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
Up 75%
Total Value
$6.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
13 of 17 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xabeb475c...db1e30
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-19-2026-3am-et