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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 75%
Total Value
$810.31
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
8 of 11 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4790134...e0ecb6
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-20-2026-3pm-et