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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Down 78%
Total Value
$767.88
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
7 of 9 top traders (78%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfd01ef52...d985f9
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-2026-1am-et