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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Down 44%
Total Value
$416.21
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2952ca30...dd7d84
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-29-2026-4am-et