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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Down 43%
Total Value
$3.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 14 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe73e09bd...8cccf6
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-31-2026-12pm-et