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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Up 56%
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf455ad6d...4345ab
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-31-2026-9am-et