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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd70bb5e0...7f16d3
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026