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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was UMass — but Ball State won instead.
Spread: UMass (-6.5)
Resolved Ball State. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held UMass. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
UMass 54%
Total Value
$13.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
UMass
7 of 13 top traders (54%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
UMass0%
Ball State100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfc8ff111...621381
Slug
cfb-ballst-umass-2026-11-04-spread-home-6pt5