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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Toledo — but Sacramento State won instead.
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Toledo. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Toledo 44%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Toledo
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Toledo0%
Sacramento State100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x425c4c5c...7f809d
Slug
cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04-spread-away-23pt5