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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 75%
Total Value
$509.55
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x63708ef0...2f82d0
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-18-2026-8am-et