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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 43%
Total Value
$19.95
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 8 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3781524e...7b4ca4
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-18-2026-9pm-et