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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 11?
Resolved No. 71.42857142857143% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 71.42857142857143%
Total Value
$202.97
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 9 top traders (71.42857142857143%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36b6ac1c...82330e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-11-2026-29c