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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$310.62
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdae0a8a2...96426f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-november-1-2026-33c