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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 20?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 56%
Total Value
$80.86
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe39e71fe...60a94a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-20-2026-33c