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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 21?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 33%
Total Value
$109.99
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d1349ca...d34b09
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-21-2026-33c