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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 45%
Total Value
$156.95
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 11 top traders (45%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa4294f66...551622
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-october-30-2026-50-51f