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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 12?
Resolved No. 58.333333333333336% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 58.333333333333336%
Total Value
$287
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (58.333333333333336%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0a73736c...c58c89
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-august-12-2026-34c