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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
63
No 53%
Total Value
$97.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
33 of 63 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9072fd14...f63343
Slug
us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-continues-through-november-15-20261103