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Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 7, 2028

Yes1¢No99¢Ends Tue, Nov 7, 2028View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes1%
No99%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance2.4%

1.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$4084.30
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4184.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xf8446923...dcb024
Slug
will-abdul-el-sayed-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination

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