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Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 7, 2028
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.4%
1.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$4084.30
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4184.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf8446923...dcb024
Slug
will-abdul-el-sayed-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination