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Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes6%
No95%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance6.7%
5.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Finance 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1383.00
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1483.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x94c02c64...b9d0dc
Slug
will-alphabet-be-the-second-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-december-31-20260806175739820