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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Apr 1, 2028
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes9%
No92%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance9.8%
8.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$915.86
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1015.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c2b3a32...d28873
Slug
will-donald-trump-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2027