Back to Markets
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance5.4%
4.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1752.82
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1852.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x42da6808...b99cfd
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-iowa-senate-election-by-0-3