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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 31
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes2%
No98%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.9%
1.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Economics 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3305.90
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3405.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdab00222...7c4256
Slug
will-the-feds-lower-bound-reach-3pt0-or-lower-before-2027-676-111