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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 3
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes98%
No2%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.2%
98.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.82
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7e99b040...278b79
Slug
will-the-republicans-hold-exactly-44-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-copy