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PolyConsensus

Unusual new money · Open the market page

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

What the flagged wallets on this market have in common: when they entered, how they traded, how alike they look and where their money came from. New wallets betting big against the crowd. This is not proof that anyone knows anything.

1 flagged wallet, $11.8K in, 0 against the crowd (the crowd: Yes). Feed as of . How this is counted

How alike they look

One flagged wallet: nothing to compare it with.

Similarity is a resemblance, not proof of coordination: two wallets can enter the same market within minutes by chance, and one person can run wallets that look nothing alike.

Timing

First entry , last . The first large trade the site saw on this market was .

Behaviour

1 wallet holds Yes ($11.8K). 1 × one big fill. 1 wallet has no other position the site can see. Mostly round sizes (multiples of $500): 0x82d5952485ff0f487f51577386ab7f98b3e248.

WalletEntered (UTC)After firstSideEntry pricePositionP/LFillsBiggest fillShare of its positionsAge · prior
0x82d5952485ff0f487f51577386ab7f98b3e248firstYes66¢avg 64.6¢$11.8K+$528.742 buysone big fill · holding · 1 round$10.5K88 % of its buys100 %0 other markets4 d · 2

Funding

Funding data is being collected. It shows each wallet's first incoming USDC transfers on Polygon: the sender, the amount and how long before the first trade.

Read this with care

  • Similarity is a resemblance, not proof of coordination: two wallets can enter the same market within minutes by chance, and one person can run wallets that look nothing alike.
  • Positions, sizes and times come from the large fills ($1,000 or more) the site saw; smaller fills and fills before the site first met a wallet are not counted, so every figure is a floor.
  • One flagged wallet: nothing to compare it with.
  • Funding data is being collected for 1 wallet.

Not financial advice. Data for bots: GET /api/v1/new-money/will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-09-house-seat (API docs).