Consensus PnL $44K · win rate 64% (99–56, n=155) · was PM monthly #991 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$44.4K
Record
99W / 56L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 155 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#987
Source
PM monthly #991
Trades
77
Markets
166
Volume
$224.2K
Specialties
142 settled consensus markets · held side won 62% at an average entry of 61¢- Tennis
+6 pts
side won 68% of 85 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +12%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 53% of 55 at an average 58¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −14%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 33% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 38% of 34)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 59% of 49)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 86% of 50)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.