Esports: what top Polymarket traders hold
Counter-Strike, League of Legends, Dota 2, Valorant and more. These are the Esports markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 27
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 37 of 48
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:41 UTC
Live Esports consensus markets (27)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTraders hold Team Spirit 34%21 of 73 tradersMarket price 49¢$357K heldagainst the market price
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTraders hold Team Yandex 50%15 of 32 tradersMarket price 45¢$105K heldagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games PlayoffsTraders hold HOTU 39%7 of 21 tradersMarket price 17¢$95K heldagainst the market price
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%12 of 20 tradersMarket price 47¢$265K heldagainst the market price
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 88%15 of 17 tradersMarket price 7.8¢$23K heldagainst the market price
- Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 88%15 of 17 tradersMarket price 98¢$12K held
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATraders hold Heroic 57%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 63¢$40K held
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 54%7 of 13 tradersMarket price 76¢$57K held
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 38%5 of 13 tradersMarket price 78¢$33K held
- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 15¢$23K heldagainst the market price
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 42%5 of 12 tradersMarket price 24¢$5K heldagainst the market price
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Traders hold Team Spirit 90%9 of 10 tradersMarket price 82¢$30K held
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN - Map 2 WinnerTraders hold 1WIN 86%6 of 9 tradersMarket price 67¢$18K held
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATraders hold Legacy 43%3 of 8 tradersMarket price 53¢$11K held
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance PlayoffsTraders hold BESTIA 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 14¢$6K heldagainst the market price
- Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 38%3 of 8 tradersMarket price 97¢$5K held
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 WinnerTraders hold WBT Academy 67%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 81¢$1K held
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsTraders hold Iberian Soul 25%2 of 8 tradersMarket price 59¢$1K held
- Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%8 of 8 tradersMarket price 0.8¢$662 heldagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATraders hold FaZe 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 32¢$14K heldagainst the market price
- Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 43%3 of 7 tradersMarket price 94¢$11K held
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BTraders hold BetBoom Team 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 64¢$3K held
- Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 98¢$2K held
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs BARCA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance PlayoffsTraders hold Wildcard 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 60¢$18K held
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATraders hold Natus Vincere 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 45¢$15K heldagainst the market price
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsTraders hold Dplus KIA 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 42¢$4K heldagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 10 Closed Qualifier Group DTraders hold Donstu Esports 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 50¢$535 heldagainst the market price
Top traders in Esports
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Esports consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.Bagwell306+60 ptsside won 100% of 139 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +61%
- 2.UpTheBlues+62 ptsside won 100% of 66 · avg entry 38¢ · ROI +63%
- 3.gregbeast+59 ptsside won 98% of 177 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +54%
- 4.justaluckydude+61 ptsside won 100% of 54 · avg entry 39¢ · ROI +63%
- 5.Skritopoolniy+55 ptsside won 99% of 540 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +53%
- 6.CORGII+54 ptsside won 99% of 287 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +56%
- 7.CyberScore.live+54 ptsside won 99% of 397 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +54%
- 8.JohnnyWins+56 ptsside won 100% of 95 · avg entry 44¢ · ROI +56%
- 9.0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542+52 ptsside won 100% of 566 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +52%
- 10.LuckyLoo+63 ptsside won 100% of 26 · avg entry 37¢ · ROI +61%
Recently settled Esports markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerResult: PhantomTraders held Phantom 75%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerResult: MetizportTraders held Metizport 70%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsResult: MetizportTraders held Metizport 60%consensus was right
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerResult: Team SpiritTraders held Team Spirit 56%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs maybe - Map 1 WinnerResult: maybeTraders held maybe 80%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs gothboiclique - Map 1 WinnerResult: UNiTY esportsTraders held UNiTY esports 60%consensus was right
- Will a team from another region win LoL Worlds 2026?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games PlayoffsResult: The Huns EsportsTraders held The Huns Esports 83%consensus was right
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 2 WinnerResult: Team SynapseTraders held Team Synapse 67%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerResult: Betclic Apogee EsportsTraders held Phantom 44%consensus was wrong
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs 5star - Map 2 WinnerResult: The Huns EsportsTraders held The Huns Esports 50%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerResult: MetizportTraders held JiJieHao 69%consensus was wrong
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.