Back to Traders
38
Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 54% (148–128, n=276) · was PM monthly #994 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x3822028f...996cbfe6Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$13.6K
Record
148W / 128L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 276 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1521
Source
PM monthly #994
Trades
4
Markets
277
Volume
$93.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder $250 · now 1¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (30% of 10)
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder $250 · now 40¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 CornersUnder $119 · now 57¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (43% of 7)
Specialties
125 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 49¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 98% of 125 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +48%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 98% of 59)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 98% of 55)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.