Soccer: what top Polymarket traders hold
Football leagues and cups worldwide: matches, spreads, totals and titles. These are the Soccer markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 317
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 603 of 872
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:41 UTC
Live Soccer consensus markets (317)
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 61%22 of 43 tradersMarket price 42¢$284K heldagainst the market price
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 66%19 of 33 tradersMarket price 97¢$82K held
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 76%22 of 32 tradersMarket price 54¢$429K held
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 50%14 of 32 tradersMarket price 100¢$44K held
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 52%14 of 32 tradersMarket price 85¢$36K held
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 68%17 of 28 tradersMarket price 87¢$108K held
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 32%7 of 25 tradersMarket price 55¢$359K held
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 67%10 of 25 tradersMarket price 25¢$41K heldagainst the market price
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 4%1 of 24 tradersMarket price 21¢$157K heldagainst the market price
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 21%5 of 24 tradersMarket price 14¢$75K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Traders hold Cagliari Calcio 64%14 of 24 tradersMarket price 72¢$73K held
- Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Traders hold No 68%13 of 23 tradersMarket price 79¢$32K held
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 37%7 of 23 tradersMarket price 64¢$21K held
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Traders hold No 71%15 of 21 tradersMarket price 96¢$50K held
- Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 50%7 of 21 tradersMarket price 60¢$42K held
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 85%17 of 21 tradersMarket price 99¢$31K held
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 37%7 of 20 tradersMarket price 69¢$104K held
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 58%11 of 20 tradersMarket price 61¢$63K held
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 63%10 of 19 tradersMarket price 75¢$69K held
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Traders hold Over 33%6 of 19 tradersMarket price 100¢$55K held
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 71%10 of 19 tradersMarket price 88¢$41K held
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 58%11 of 19 tradersMarket price 99¢$16K held
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Traders hold Under 65%11 of 19 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$12K heldagainst the market price
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 94%17 of 18 tradersMarket price 65¢$498K held
- Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 28%5 of 18 tradersMarket price 10¢$95K heldagainst the market price
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 57%8 of 18 tradersMarket price 94¢$20K held
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 75%12 of 18 tradersMarket price 15¢$7K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Traders hold Real Madrid CF 50%8 of 17 tradersMarket price 41¢$38K heldagainst the market price
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 47%8 of 17 tradersMarket price 41¢$13K heldagainst the market price
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 44%7 of 16 tradersMarket price 82¢$46K held
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 64%9 of 16 tradersMarket price 48¢$10K heldagainst the market price
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold No 60%9 of 15 tradersMarket price 89¢$593K held
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 7%1 of 15 tradersMarket price 84¢$176K held
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 20%3 of 15 tradersMarket price 50¢$133K heldagainst the market price
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 70%7 of 15 tradersMarket price 51¢$56K held
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 64%7 of 15 tradersMarket price 71¢$16K held
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 38%5 of 15 tradersMarket price 19¢$16K heldagainst the market price
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 33%5 of 15 tradersMarket price 24¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 29%4 of 14 tradersMarket price 88¢$49K held
- Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?Traders hold No 67%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 72¢$13K held
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 77%10 of 14 tradersMarket price 62¢$6K held
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 71%10 of 14 tradersMarket price 99¢$5K held
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Traders hold SK Brann 42%5 of 13 tradersMarket price 85¢$34K held
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Traders hold Degerfors IF 27%3 of 13 tradersMarket price 79¢$19K held
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 55%6 of 13 tradersMarket price 45¢$7K heldagainst the market price
- Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 55%6 of 13 tradersMarket price 42¢$5K heldagainst the market price
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold No 67%8 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Traders hold Yes 67%8 of 12 tradersMarket price 72¢$97K held
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Traders hold Trabzonspor 36%4 of 12 tradersMarket price 88¢$51K held
- Malmo FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 27%3 of 12 tradersMarket price 70¢$38K held
- Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 61¢$38K held
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold Yes 92%11 of 12 tradersMarket price 13¢$33K heldagainst the market price
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 20%2 of 12 tradersMarket price 47¢$25K heldagainst the market price
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 55¢$16K held
- Malmo FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 60%6 of 12 tradersMarket price 100¢$8K held
- Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 58%7 of 12 tradersMarket price 32¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Traders hold Over 82%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 70¢$2K held
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold Yes 73%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 23¢$91K heldagainst the market price
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 64%7 of 11 tradersMarket price 73¢$86K held
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 33%2 of 11 tradersMarket price 62¢$85K held
- Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold No 45%5 of 11 tradersMarket price 91¢$82K held
- Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 20%2 of 11 tradersMarket price 66¢$70K held
- Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 20%2 of 11 tradersMarket price 37¢$27K heldagainst the market price
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 9%1 of 11 tradersMarket price 50¢$15K heldagainst the market price
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 9%1 of 11 tradersMarket price 94¢$8K held
- Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich: O/U 6.5Traders hold Over 60%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 59¢$7K held
- Will Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich end in a draw?Traders hold No 91%10 of 11 tradersMarket price 49¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 56%5 of 11 tradersMarket price 100¢$2K held
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 67%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 60¢$2K held
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?Traders hold No 55%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 99¢$828 held
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 33%3 of 10 tradersMarket price 93¢$49K held
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 30%3 of 10 tradersMarket price 44¢$41K heldagainst the market price
- Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 4.0¢$23K heldagainst the market price
- Will AC Horsens win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 80%8 of 10 tradersMarket price 99¢$13K held
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Traders hold Under 71%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 61¢$12K held
- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 30%3 of 10 tradersMarket price 66¢$11K held
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 50%4 of 10 tradersMarket price 92¢$9K held
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold Yes 63%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 60¢$7K held
- Viborg FF vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 100¢$7K held
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold No 50%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 43¢$6K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Traders hold Real Racing Club 80%8 of 10 tradersMarket price 38¢$5K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Traders hold Getafe CF 50%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 99¢$5K held
- Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 0.8¢$4K heldagainst the market price
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Traders hold Over 90%9 of 10 tradersMarket price 53¢$4K held
- Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Traders hold No 30%3 of 10 tradersMarket price 80¢$2K held
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Traders hold No 44%4 of 10 tradersMarket price 75¢$2K held
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold Yes 67%6 of 10 tradersMarket price 100¢$1K held
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?Traders hold Yes 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 24¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will CD Eldense win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 44%4 of 10 tradersMarket price 97¢$499 held
- Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 17%1 of 9 tradersMarket price 61¢$31K held
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Traders hold No 22%2 of 9 tradersMarket price 78¢$16K held
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Traders hold Over 67%6 of 9 tradersMarket price 100¢$13K held
- Djurgardens IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 33%3 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$10K heldagainst the market price
- Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 5.5Traders hold Under 78%7 of 9 tradersMarket price 100¢$7K held
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 63%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 93¢$6K held
- Will FC Zurich win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 56%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 84¢$6K held
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 88%7 of 9 tradersMarket price 99¢$6K held
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Traders hold Over 67%6 of 9 tradersMarket price 83¢$6K held
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)Traders hold FC Twente 56%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 100¢$5K held
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?Traders hold No 63%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 66¢$5K held
Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 317; the markets page has them all.
Top traders in Soccer
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Soccer consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.0xcba9371dcbbd7a48b477f04274376e1feea9f812+64 ptsside won 100% of 126 · avg entry 36¢ · ROI +63%
- 2.RNGUzi+67 ptsside won 100% of 24 · avg entry 33¢ · ROI +65%
- 3.djdjdj+62 ptsside won 91% of 43 · avg entry 29¢ · ROI +63%
- 4.claudesports+57 ptsside won 92% of 87 · avg entry 35¢ · ROI +44%
- 5.LiquidatedDegen+54 ptsside won 84% of 255 · avg entry 30¢ · ROI +15%
- 6.hi774c+49 ptsside won 100% of 553 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +46%
- 7.1l2ihj34li12u34+50 ptsside won 100% of 188 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
- 8.salahmh+49 ptsside won 100% of 256 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +49%
- 9.kkpay19888+49 ptsside won 98% of 393 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 10.theowalcott+50 ptsside won 100% of 129 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
Recently settled Soccer markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Result: OverTraders held Over 100%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5Result: OverTraders held Under 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Sivasspor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?Result: NoTraders held No 50%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Result: OverTraders held Over 67%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreResult: Yes
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01?Result: NoTraders held No 33%consensus was right
- Will Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?Result: NoTraders held Yes 20%consensus was wrong
- Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01?Result: YesTraders held Yes 64%consensus was right
- Spread: Amed Sportif (-4.5)Result: EyüpsporTraders held Eyüpspor 100%consensus was right
- Will Sivasspor win on 2026-11-01?Result: NoTraders held Yes 20%consensus was wrong
- Sivasspor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5Result: UnderTraders held Under 100%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Result: OverTraders held Under 50%consensus was wrong
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.