Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 58% (11–8, n=19) · PM monthly #381 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.2K
Record
11W / 8L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 19 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1315
Source
PM monthly #381
Trades
31
Markets
31
Volume
$99.7K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $210K · now 36¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
6 settled consensus markets · held side won 17% at an average entry of 12¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 17% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.