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3B
Consensus PnL $111K · win rate 86% (1912–303, n=2215) · was PM monthly #998 · no open consensus position
0x3bf57663...a8aa2307Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$110.6K
Record
1912W / 303L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 2215 settled
Batting Avg
16.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#310
Source
PM monthly #998
Trades
261
Markets
3,120
Volume
$4.4M
Specialties
1,955 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 83¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 86% of 1931 · avg entry 83¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 12% of 124)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 42% of 106)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 67% of 153)
- 70¢ and up: 80%(won 97% of 1572)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.