Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 54% (330–281, n=611) · was PM monthly #916 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$22.3K
Record
330W / 281L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 611 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1509
Source
PM monthly #916
Trades
171
Markets
704
Volume
$1.1M
Specialties
344 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 50¢- Soccer
+48 pts
side won 99% of 267 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +48%
- NBA
+48 pts
side won 97% of 77 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +49%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 98% of 171)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 98% of 169)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.