Consensus PnL $460K · win rate 55% (52497–42341, n=94838) · PM monthly #413 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$459.6K
Record
52497W / 42341L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 94838 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1430
Source
PM monthly #413
Trades
554
Markets
106,014
Volume
$70.0M
Specialties
45,250 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 84¢- Crypto
+7 pts
side won 91% of 45250 · avg entry 84¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 22% of 5089)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 100% of 1136)
- 50–70¢: 6%(won 100% of 2753)
- 70¢ and up: 80%(won 100% of 36272)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.