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PolyConsensus

Crypto: what top Polymarket traders hold

Bitcoin, Ethereum and the rest: price targets, launches and crypto events. These are the Crypto markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
176
Recently settled, consensus right
699 of 879
Prices as of
Nov 1, 14:40 UTC

Live Crypto consensus markets (176)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 176; the markets page has them all.

Top traders in Crypto

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Crypto consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.Vega7+81 ptsside won 94% of 304 · avg entry 13¢ · ROI +74%
  2. 2.Hsilverbasher+66 ptsside won 100% of 3788 · avg entry 34¢ · ROI +50%
  3. 3.OhioRiskManagement+50 ptsside won 100% of 10008 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +47%
  4. 4.devonpoll+49 ptsside won 99% of 358 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +6%
  5. 5.0xa68c732b3dcd1cf32775e069f02cb6730c46f805+57 ptsside won 100% of 35 · avg entry 43¢ · ROI +62%
  6. 6.std0+47 ptsside won 100% of 21188 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +44%
  7. 7.Little-big+47 ptsside won 100% of 8005 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +47%
  8. 8.aosdijf+62 ptsside won 76% of 37 · avg entry 14¢ · ROI +25%
  9. 9.dvasdkasodk+45 ptsside won 93% of 6522 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +42%
  10. 10.Telawin+45 ptsside won 100% of 322 · avg entry 55¢ · ROI +45%

Recently settled Crypto markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.