Consensus PnL $92K · win rate 68% (1384–642, n=2026) · was PM monthly #945 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$92.2K
Record
1384W / 642L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 2026 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#848
Source
PM monthly #945
Record (90 d)
369/387 · 95%
Trades
374
Markets
2,240
Volume
$3.1M
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Specialties
1,517 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 68¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 93% of 587 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +21%
- NBA
+21 pts
side won 75% of 75 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +14%
- Other Sports
+22 pts
side won 78% of 50 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +29%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 17% of 138)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 80% of 219)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 87% of 418)
- 70¢ and up: 49%(won 96% of 742)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.