Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 55% (101–84, n=185) · PM monthly #852 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$24.7K
Record
101W / 84L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 185 settled
Batting Avg
58.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#961
Source
PM monthly #852
Record (90 d)
3/12 · 25%
Trades
0
Markets
306
Volume
$105.3K
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Specialties
55 settled consensus markets · held side won 35% at an average entry of 46¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22f's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 29% of 24 at an average 42¢ entry (−13 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 13% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 38% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 36% of 28)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.