Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 54% (1113–950, n=2063) · was PM monthly #912 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.2K
Record
1113W / 950L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 2063 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1490
Source
PM monthly #912
Trades
19
Markets
2,094
Volume
$570.5K
Specialties
957 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 63¢- Weather
+37 pts
side won 100% of 957 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 41)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 99% of 194)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 100% of 323)
- 70¢ and up: 42%(won 100% of 399)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.