Consensus PnL $15K · win rate 59% (306–216, n=522) · was PM monthly #954 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.2K
Record
306W / 216L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 522 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1229
Source
PM monthly #954
Trades
132
Markets
550
Volume
$112.5K
Specialties
259 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 49¢- MMA
+48 pts
side won 98% of 43 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +47%
- Tennis
+44 pts
side won 93% of 72 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +32%
- College Basketball
+56 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +51%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 82% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 40%(won 92% of 103)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 96% of 132)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.