Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 54% (1109–940, n=2049) · was PM monthly #974 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$25.2K
Record
1109W / 940L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 2049 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1491
Source
PM monthly #974
Trades
20
Markets
2,372
Volume
$109.6K
Specialties
581 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 52¢- Weather
+48 pts
side won 100% of 581 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 19%(won 100% of 112)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 100% of 150)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 100% of 151)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 99% of 168)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.