Consensus PnL $9.6K · win rate 82% (314–67, n=381) · was PM monthly #884 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$9.6K
Record
314W / 67L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 381 settled
Batting Avg
71.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#410
Source
PM monthly #884
Record (90 d)
180/222 · 81%
Trades
171
Markets
482
Volume
$432.0K
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Specialties
379 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 75¢- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 84% of 354 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 20% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 43% of 23)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 78% of 91)
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 93% of 250)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.