Consensus PnL $415K · win rate 48% (811–866, n=1677) · was PM monthly #558 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$414.8K
Record
811W / 866L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 1677 settled
Batting Avg
69.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1875
Source
PM monthly #558
Trades
4,391
Markets
2,722
Volume
$26.5M
Specialties
1,096 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+31 pts
side won 91% of 1093 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 50% of 105)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 88% of 256)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 96% of 375)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 99% of 360)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.