Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 52% (258–235, n=493) · was PM monthly #893 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$10.5K
Record
258W / 235L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 493 settled
Batting Avg
38.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1716
Source
PM monthly #893
Record (90 d)
204/287 · 71%
Trades
349
Markets
529
Volume
$998.8K
Specialties
400 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+15 pts
side won 77% of 228 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 26% of 46)
- 30–50¢: 19%(won 49% of 75)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 72% of 134)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 87% of 145)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.