Consensus PnL -$55K · win rate 58% (162–119, n=281) · was PM monthly #868 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-55.0K
Record
162W / 119L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 281 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1280
Source
PM monthly #868
Trades
113
Markets
285
Volume
$207.2K
Specialties
180 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 57¢- Soccer
+24 pts
side won 83% of 170 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +17%
- Elections
+7 pts
side won 30% of 10 · avg entry 23¢
ROI −2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 30% of 27)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 79% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 87% of 55)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 97% of 60)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.