Consensus PnL $88K · win rate 73% (494–181, n=675) · PM monthly #751 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$87.6K
Record
494W / 181L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 675 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#629
Source
PM monthly #751
Record (90 d)
284/316 · 90%
Trades
144
Markets
990
Volume
$1.5M
Specialties
639 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 68¢- Esports
+13 pts
side won 81% of 638 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 6% of 35)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 53% of 83)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 82% of 176)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 94% of 345)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.