Consensus PnL $328K · win rate 48% (6794–7281, n=14075) · PM monthly #964 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$327.9K
Record
6794W / 7281L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 14075 settled
Batting Avg
37.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1866
Source
PM monthly #964
Trades
3,899
Markets
130,460
Volume
$31.9M
Specialties
78,066 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 63¢- Crypto
+37 pts
side won 100% of 78066 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 2327)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 100% of 12307)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 100% of 35174)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 100% of 28258)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.