Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 71% (5–2, n=7) · PM monthly #637 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$25.0K
Record
5W / 2L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 7 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#724
Source
PM monthly #637
Trades
28
Markets
8
Volume
$96.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes $5.1K · now 52¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (40% of 11)
Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 27¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xe34b8deb3de95e27dc8b9d915d53aa42ca7203a3's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 57%(won 100% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 0% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 0% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.