Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 61% (1158–754, n=1912) · was PM monthly #966 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$22.9K
Record
1158W / 754L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 1912 settled
Batting Avg
34.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1104
Source
PM monthly #966
Trades
1,149
Markets
2,710
Volume
$387.7K
Specialties
795 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 58¢- Crypto
+10 pts
side won 68% of 784 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 15% of 107)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 52% of 122)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 73% of 270)
- 70¢ and up: 37%(won 91% of 296)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.