Consensus PnL -$53K · win rate 50% (1170–1192, n=2362) · was PM monthly #934 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-52.6K
Record
1170W / 1192L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 2362 settled
Batting Avg
35.3%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1847
Source
PM monthly #934
Record (90 d)
489/594 · 82%
Trades
361
Markets
2,715
Volume
$2.8M
Specialties
1,301 settled consensus markets · held side won 77% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 77% of 1301 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 63% of 165)
- 30–50¢: 41%(won 74% of 536)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 83% of 497)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 87% of 103)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.